BY TREVOR N. DUPUY
A-10 Advance Rates in
Forecasts, Attrition Anderson's War Toll Estimate Wildly
Inaccurate. Published in The Washington Post, Nov. 7,
Engagement Data for the Arab-Israeli Wars (with Col. John A.C.
Nuclear & Chemical Weapons in the XXth Century; Political
and Strategic Aspects.
A-120 Thoughts on an
Arab Peace Initiative.
Intelligence for the Armed Forces. Published in Army,
Feb. 1984 under the title "Military History Is Key."
A-185 New Attrition
Methodology for Combat Models.
A-190 A New Attrition
Methodology for Models of On-Ground Combat (with James G.
A-200 Some Facts
About Attrition in War.
Automation - Achilles Heel of the US Army. Published in Armed
Forces Journal, Feb. 1981 under the pen name Alexander
B-10 A New Approach
to Battle Termination Methodology.
Interaction of Weapons, Tactics, and Doctrine.
Management; The Historical Legacy.
Analysis of the Bekaa Valley Battle.
B-70 US Defense
Budgets -- The Right Priorities? Published in Armed Forces
Journal International, Apr. 1982.
B-100 The Fundamental
Information Base for Modeling Human Behavior In Combat.
B-120 Avoiding the
B-125 Future, Present
and Past Wars.
Options in Bosnia.
Intervention in Bosnia; A Piece of Cake? Published in The
Wall Street Journal, Aug. 20, 1992, under the title
"The Way to Win the War in Yugoslavia."
B-130 Are We Helpless
Against Bold Aggression? Implications of Failure in Bosnia.
C-0 The Calculus of
C-5 The Military
Historian As A Domain Specialist for Case-Based Reasoning.
C-20 Julius Caesar
C-60 The Element of
Chance in Combat Models.
C-70 China, December
C-80 Civilian Control
and Military Professionalism: A Systemic Problem. Published in
Strategic Review, Winter 1980.
Deterministic, Predictive Theory of Combat.
C-120 Clausewitz and
Effectiveness and Characteristics of Society.
C-145 Using the
Concept of Relative Combat Effectiveness for Military
C-160 A Methodology
Consistently Relating Combat Power Ratios to Battlefield
C-180 Criticisms of
Combat Models Cite Unreliability of Results. Published in Army,
C-190 The Phenomenon
of Combat Effectiveness.
C-240 In Search of an
American Philosophy of Command and Control.
"Competition" Is Driving National Defense Out of Its
Mind. Published in Army, Sept. 1985, under the title
"Misapplied Proposal Regulations Hurt Defense Efforts,
Continental Army to Global Superpower; 200 Years in Defense of
History and Case-Based Reasoning: A New Approach to the
Application of Artificial Intelligence to Battlefield
C-370 A Promise
Fulfilled in the CBI (with R. E. Dupuy).
C-375 Why American
Military Capability is Not Good Enough.
D-1 Criteria for
Defeat in Battle (with Robert McQuie, Charles B. MacDonald and
Hugh M. Cole).
D-10 The Problem of
Defining Models, Simulations and Games For Military Purposes.
D-20 Yes Indeed; What
About the Draft?
Published in International Security, Summer 1989.
E-2 An Assessment of
Joshua Epstein's Monograph: "The Calculus of Conventional
Combat Effectiveness of Divisions in World War II.
Warfare and the Battle of Kursk. Published in Armed Forces
Journal International, Feb. 1979
E-40 Even Your Best
E-50 The US 88th
Division in WWII; A Case in Study in Combat Performance
Excellence (with Gay Hammerman). Published in Military
Review, Oct. 1987.
F-10 Flags and
F-30 Force Ratios and
Behavioral Considerations in Ground Combat Models.
F-31 Outnumbered and
Winning; Force Multipliers in History.
F-32 Yes, Virginia,
There Really Are Multipliers!
F-40 Report on
Pre-War Forecasting: Accuracy of Pre-Kuwait War Forecasts.
F-50 Forecasting on
the Basis of Historical Combat Trends.
F-60 Friction in War.
F-70 The Frustrations
of a Military History Analyst.
F-80 Introduction for
Japanese version of Future Wars.
G-1 History, Reform,
and General Staffs.
G-10 The Current
Implications of German Military Excellence. Published in US
Strategic Review, Fall 1976.
G-50 Assessing the
War in the Gulf.
G-51 Estimates of
Possible Casualties in a War Between United Nations Forces and
Iraq (with Curt Johnson).
Mysticism, and the Holy Grail.
H-5 Technology and
The Human Factor In War.
H-10 Renegade or
Patriot? The Case of Major Haddad of "Free Lebanon."
H-30 The Hexagon in
H-40 Relevance of
Historical Combat Data to Future Tactical Nuclear Warfare.
Military Operations in the Middle East.
H-60 History and
Modern Battle. Published in Army, Nov. 1982.
H-70 The Uses of
H-80 Human Factors
Without Human Experience: A Case Study in Combat Simulation
Implications of Human Factors and Technology in Modern War.
Hypotheses Derived From Military History Analysis.
I-1 The INF Treaty
and the Quantified Model.
I-10 Measuring Combat
I-20 Thoughts on
I-30 Iraqi Invasion
of Kuwait: Testimony Before the House Armed Services
Committee, 13 Dec. 1990.
Characteristics of JTLS.
J-20 A Possible Iraqi
Invasion of Jordan.
K-2 New Perspective
on the Security of Korea.
K-5 Are We On The
Brink of War With Korea?
K-8 Kuwait War: A
K-10 Kuwait War: How
the War Was Won. Published in National Review, Apr. 1,
K-11 Kuwait War: The
Way of the War. Published in National Review, Mar. 18,
Kuwait: Not Easy; Not Formidable; But Necessary.
L-10 LNK Paradigm,
Comments, "A Design for a Battlefield Situation
L-30 Basic Concepts
of Land Combat.
L-40 Analysis of a
Land Warfare Data Base.
L-50 Landpower - Its
L-60 Laws Governing
Combat (with Janice B. Fain). Published in National Defense,
Politics, and Cowardice.
L-80 Is American
Military Leadership Pedestrian and Unimaginative?
L-85 The Failure of
American Military Leadership.
L-90 Players and
Kibitzers; The Complexities of Withdrawal of Occupation Forces
L-100 The War in
Lebanon: In Search of Truth In Reporting (with Paul Martell).
Lethality and Effective Firepower on the Modern Battlefield.
Published in Army, Feb. 1979 under the title
"Military Weaponry: How Lethal?
L-115 Could Lee Have
Won At Gettysburg?
Lethality and the Nuclear Threshold. Published in Armed
Forces Journal International, Oct. 1978.
L-130 Churchill and
Liddell Hart; Civilian Writers Who Have Influenced Military
Affairs. Published in Army, Aug. 1966 under the title
"The Selective Memoirs of Liddell Hart."
L-140 Can America
Fight a Limited Nuclear War? Published in Orbis-A Journal
of World Affairs, Spring 1961.
L-150 Reflections on
the Louisiana and Other Maneuvers.
M-1 Maneuver Lessons:
The Arab-Israeli Wars.
M-20 Measures of
M-30 For Men Only.
Published in The Field Artillery Journal, Sept. 1942.
M-40 How to Lose - Or
Win - Friends and Influence in the Middle East.
M-50 Middle East
Peace is Possible.
M-60 A Proposed Step
Toward Middle East Peace. Published in Strategic Review,
M-70 A Case Study in
M-80 An Introduction
to Military Historical Analysis.
History; The Essence of Military Science.
History: Laboratory of the Soldier; Empirical Basis for a
Theory of Combat.
M-130 The Practical
Relevance of Military History to Problems of Modern Combat.
M-140 The Relevance
of Military History.
M-150 Why We Do Not
Learn From Military History.
Service in a Democracy: The Obligation to Serve vs. the
M-180 Combat Models:
"About Right" vs. "Precisely Wrong."
M-190 The Defensive
Might of Infantry; Contribution of Combat Multipliers.
M-200 Coming to Grips
With Battlefield "Multipliers" - By Use of the
Quantified Judgement Model.
M-205 Outnumbered and
Winning; Force Multipliers in History.
M-210 A Practical
Approach to Force Multipliers.
M-220 Let's Get
Serious About Combat Multipliers.
M-240 Mobile Defense,
Forward Strategy, and Military Reform; Confusion Among the
M-250 The Problem of
Defining Models, Simulations and Games for Military Purposes.
M-275 Combat Models -
Military History and Validation of. Published in Army,
N-1 National Guard;
Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow.
N-10 The New Debate:
NATO's Deep Strike; Strategy For Victory or Defeat?
N-20 The Problem of
NATO Forward Defense.
N-30 The Nondebate
Over How Army Should Fight. Published in Army, Jun.
N-35 Prospects for a
N-40 Comments on
Gold-Struve Article: "The Nuclear Battlefield."
N-70 Preservation of
the North Anna Battlefield.
O-1 A Military
Analysis of the October War.
O-10 The War of
Ramadan: An Arab Perspective of the October War. Published in Army,
O-20 Preliminary QJMA
Analyses of October War Data.
P-1 Pearl Harbor: Who
Blundered? Published in America in World Affairs:
P-10 Perceptions Of
The Next War: Historical Perspective on Adjustment of Doctrine
and Tactics to Weapons. Published in Armed Forces Journal
International, May 1980.
P-20 The Pied Pipers
of "Maneuver-Style" Warfare. Published in Armed
Forces Journal International, Nov. 1981.
P-30 The Nature of
P-35 Report on
P-40 The Principles
P-50 Some Thoughts on
P-60 The Crisis in
American Professionalism: Accusations and Remedies.
P-75 A Question of
Professionalism in Today's Army. Published in Army,
Jul. 1982, under the pen name Alexander Ross.
P-90 A Comparison of
the Combat Potentialities of the United States and the Soviet
Analysis of War Experience.
Historical Analysis to Determine the Influence of Behavioral
Factors on Combat Outcomes.
Q-110 A New Attrition
Methodology for Models of Air-Ground Combat (with James G.
Q-130 Mythos or
Verity? The Quantified Judgment Model and German Combat
Q-140 The Quantified
Judgment Model: A Conceptual Approach.
Q-160 The Quantified
Judgment Model: Observations and Descriptions.
Q-260 The Quantified
Judgment Model; A Theory of Combat.
R-1 Thoughts on the
Road Problem in a Future War in Europe.
R-10 Analysis of the
Russo-German War, 1941-1945. Published as a chapter in the
book War in the East: The Russo-German Conflict, 1941-45,
R-15 Using the
Concept of Relative Combat Effectiveness for Military
S-20 The Scherhorn
S-30 The Soviet
Second Echelon: Is This a Red Herring? Published in Armed
Forces Journal International, Aug. 1982.
With 'Shrapnel.' Published in Army, Jan. 1980.
S-60 A Summary of the
Status of Combat Simulation in the US and NATO in 1982.
S-70 At Last!
Systematic, Reliable Simulation of Combat
S-80 A Fallacy of
American Combat Simulations; Rates of Advance Are NOT
Proportional to Force Ratios.
S-90 Preliminary QJMA
Analysis of Six-Day War.
S-100 U.S. Military
Strategy Has Been Getting a Bum Rap. Published in Army,
S-110 In Defense of
American Military Strategists.
S-120 A New Square
S-130 Strategy For
Victory of Defeat? Published in Air Force Magazine,
S-140 Across the Suez
Simulation of Suppression and Attrition Effects of Artillery
and Air-Delivered Firepower.
S-170 Observations on
Suppression in Combat.
Literature and Data on Suppression in Combat.
S-190 A Quantifiable
Variable: Predicting the Element Of Surprise in Combat.
Published in Army, May 1977.
and Effects of Surprise in Modern War.
S-210 Thoughts on
Surprise Scenarios for a Future War in Europe.
S-220 The Synergism
of History and Operations Research: A Case Study: German
Combat Performance in Two World Wars.
T-10 A Theory of
T-35 Tank Loss
T-40 Toward a Viable
Doctrine of Tactical Nuclear Combat. Published in Ordnance,
Nov./Dec. 1968 under the title "Tactical Nuclear
Observations on the "Target-Rich" Environment of
Contemporary and Future War.
T-70 The Influence of
Technology on War Since 1945. Published in Marine Corps
Gazette, Sept. 1983.
T-90 Interaction of
Technology and Human Factors in War.
T-95 Technology and
the Human Factor in War.
T-100 Modern Weapons
Technology and the Simulation of Modern Combat in the 1980s.
Technology and the History of Tactical Innovation.
T-120 Testimony of
T.N. Dupuy Before the Joint Committee on the Organization of
the Congress, Aug. 4, 1965.
Trends in Modern Ground Combat.
U-1 Understanding War
From Historical Experience (with Arnold C. Dupuy.) Published
in Phalanx, Dec. 1984.
U-10 Does Army
Thinking on Tactical Air Violate Unity of Command? Published
by Air Force Magazine, Nov. 1955.
U-40 The Gulf War and
The United Nations.
V-0 Military History
and Validation of Combat Models.
V-1 The Timeless
Verities of Combat.
V-10 Veterans Day.
V-20 Victory in 1945
- Lessons For the Cold War? Published in The Retired
Officer, May 1985.
Civilization, and History. Published in the Baltimore Sun,
May 15, 1992, under the title "We Are Less Warlike, if
Not Kinder and Gentler."
W-20 War Since 1945.
W-50 The Warrior and
Morality in War.
W-70 Washington and
W-80 Thoughts on the
Effect of Weather on Combat Outcomes.
W-90 The West and the
Tide of History.
W-100 Women in
Combat: The Challenge of the 1980's: Are Women Combat-Ready?
W-110 Women In
Military Combat: A Historical Survey.
W-130 World War I.
W-140 The War Against
NB-1 Estimates of
Possible US Casualties in a War Between United Nations Forces
and Iraq (with Curt Johnson.)
NB-2 Estimates of
Possible US Battle Casualties in Three Excursions of Gulf War
Scenarios (With Curt Johnson and David L. Bongard.)
REVIEWS BY TREVOR N. DUPUY
DOCTRINE, By Gen. Dale O. Smith, Little, Brown, NY, 1955.
NO VICTOR, NO
VANQUISHED; The Yom Kippur War. By Edgar O'Ballance, Presidio
ON THE BANKS OF THE
SUEZ: An Israeli General's Personal Account of the Yom Kippur
War. By Avraham Adan, 1980. The Middle East Journal,
Washington, DC, 1981.
THE CROSSING OF THE
SUEZ. By Lt. Gen. Saad el Shazly, 1980. The Middle East
Journal, Washington, DC, 1981, and Armed Forces Journal
International, Oct. 1981.
GERMAN AND U.S. ARMY PERFORMANCE, 1939-1945. By Martin van
Creveld. Army, Aug. 1983.
THE LIBERATION OF
JERUSALEM; THE BATTLE OF 1967. By Gen. Uzi Narkiss. London,
OPERATION PEACE FOR
GALILEE; THE ISRAELI-PLO WAR IN LEBANON. By Richard A.
Gabriel, Hill and Wang, NY, 1984.
ARMY WEAPONS AND THEORIES OF WAR, 1904-1945. By Shelford
Bidwell and Dominick Graham. London, 1984.
PHILOSOPHER OF WAR. By Raymond Aron. Prentice-Hall, NJ, 1985.
PARATROOPERS; THE AMERICAN AIRBORNE IN WORLD WAR II. By Clay
The Washington Times,
Sept. 5, 1985.
HISTORY OF THE ART OF
WAR, WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF POLITICAL HISTORY: Vol IV, The
Modern Era. Hans Delbruck, Translated by Walter J. Renfroe,
Jr., Greenwood Press, Conn., 1985.
COMMAND IN WAR. By
Martin van Creveld, Harvard, Cambridge, Mass, 1985.
THE WAR OF THE TWO
EMPERORS: THE DUEL BETWEEN NAPOLEAN AND ALEXANDER: RUSSIA
1812. By Curtis Cate. The Washington Times Magazine,
Mar. 17, 1986.
THE THIRD WORLD WAR;
THE UNTOLD STORY. By Gen. Sir John Hackett, Macmillan, NY,
MILITARY OPERATIONS. By Frank Cass, 1990.
DESERT VICTORY; THE
WAR FOR KUWAIT. By Norman Friedman, Naval Institute Press,
Annapolis, Md., 1991.
ON STRATEGY II: A
CRITICAL SUMMARY OF THE GULF WAR. By Col. Harry G. Summers Jr.
(Ret.). The Washington Times, May 14, 1992.