Mystics & Statistics

Next Fredericksburg Presentation is on Wednesday, 23 September

The next Fredericksburg presentation is on Wednesday, 23 September at 7:00 PM (EST) via Zoom.

The current schedule is:

Fredericksburg #5 (September 23) “Assault Crossings and Urban Warfare”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/81494714626?pwd=SCpHe9zeHW0c97HmdzNajFHHmmYqmh.1

Fredericksburg #6 (September 30) “Sir, a chicken could not live on that field when we open up on it”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/84281356384?pwd=pBmPl1QScDJACYaEPZ85hACawagQA9.1

Fredericksburg #7 (October 7) “Ferocious Assaults and Lost Opportunities”:https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86484839263?pwd=fCGBab1hbS0FcMeJmalf111CZhDoc6.1

Fredericksburg #8 (October 14) “Aftermath”:https://us06web.zoom.us/j/82477606691?pwd=1jzaU6jia4zPQZdW7yazbQaVbJY5Ua.1

Tour of the Battle of Fredericksburg on Friday, October 23. Sign-up is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.

 

The Fifth HAAC is a three-day conference on historical analysis running Tuesday through Thursday 20-22 October. After the conference, on Friday, Dr. James Slaughter will lead a tour of The Battle of Fredericksburg, meeting up in the morning in Tysons Corner (near Rangos) and driving down south the battlefield.

The schedule for the Fifth HAAC is rapidly filling in. Now is a good time to commit: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com if you want to sign up for a presentation.

The sign-up for Fifth HAAC is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite

Aces at Kursk is now in Paperback in the UK

Aces at Kursk is now in paperback. It has been released in the UK and will be released at some point in the near future in the U.S. Hardback and kindle versions are available in both countries (and probably elsewhere).

I did not do any new revisions to the book. In part because I was in the middle of working on another book and in part because I did not feel there was a need to. I will do a separate couple of posts on this.

Anyhow, get it now. Max insists:



 

 

Battle for Taiwan #4

Latest article on Taiwan published by TDI associates William A. Sayers and Julian Spencer-Churchill. This is worth a read. It addresses some of the claims made by people who tend to overrate China’s amphibious capability by the use of civilian craft. The article is: “China Cannot Yet a Beach on Taiwan.” It is on real clear defense here: https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2026/08/25/china_cannot_yet_hold_a_beach_on_taiwan_1202270.html?utm_source=nl&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=rcd-amrecon-2026-08-25&mc_cid=e51569dd59&mc_eid=8154149f25

As Dr. Spencer-Churchill notes: “China’s military is not yet strong enough to take a port on Taiwan’s coast, which we demonstrate through accessible $10 wargaming – transparent and reproducible. China still lacks sealift and cannot move inland faster than Taiwan can counter-concentrate. In an upcoming article, we show China has a better chance of landing on beaches between Tainan and Taizhong.”

Their work will be presented at the upcoming Fifth HAAC. Both “Chip” Sayers and Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill will be presenting at the conference. See: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

The Fifth HAAC is from 20 – 22 October in Tysons Corner Virginia (near DC). Tickets are available from Event Brite: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.

Fredericksburg #4 Presentation this Wednesday (26 August) at 7:00 PM (EST) via Zoom

Fredericksburg #4 presentation “The Problem with Pontoons” will be this Wednesday (26 August) at 7:00 PM (EST) vias Zoom. The Zoom link is here: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86530379724?pwd=AyAoubLCT4aaVQGIsb2JGMUs6yg5ru.1

 

The rest of the schedule is:

Fredericksburg #5 (September 2) “Assault Crossings and Urban Warfare”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/81494714626?pwd=SCpHe9zeHW0c97HmdzNajFHHmmYqmh.1

Fredericksburg #6 (September 23) “Sir, a chicken could not live on that field when we open up on it”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/84281356384?pwd=pBmPl1QScDJACYaEPZ85hACawagQA9.1

Fredericksburg #7 (September 30) “Ferocious Assaults and Lost Opportunities”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86484839263?pwd=fCGBab1hbS0FcMeJmalf111CZhDoc6.1

Fredericksburg #8 (October 14) “Aftermath”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/82477606691?pwd=1jzaU6jia4zPQZdW7yazbQaVbJY5Ua.1

Tour of the Battle of Fredericksburg on Friday, October 23. Sign-up is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.

 

The Fifth HAAC is a three-day conference on historical analysis running Tuesday through Thursday 20-22 October. After the conference, on Friday, Dr. James Slaughter will lead a tour of The Battle of Fredericksburg, meeting up in the morning in Tysons Corner (near Rangos) and driving down south the battlefield.

The schedule for the Fifth HAAC is rapidly filling in. Now is a good time to commit: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com if you want to sign up for a presentation.

The sign-up for Fifth HAAC is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite

Fredericksburg #3 Presentation this Wednesday (12 August) at 7:00 PM (EST) via Zoom

The Fredericksburg #3 presentation “Burnside’s Plan” will be this Wednesday (12 August) at 7:00 PM (EST) via Zoom. The Zoom link is here: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/85934798214?pwd=uTamfoqA1Nr9E5qYkj0baA9gXozbnT.1

The rest of the schedule is:

Fredericksburg #4 (August 26) “The Problem with Pontoons”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86530379724?pwd=AyAoubLCT4aaVQGIsb2JGMUs6yg5ru.1

Fredericksburg #5 (September 2) “Assault Crossings and Urban Warfare”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/81494714626?pwd=SCpHe9zeHW0c97HmdzNajFHHmmYqmh.1

Fredericksburg #6 (September 23) “Sir, a chicken could not live on that field when we open up on it”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/84281356384?pwd=pBmPl1QScDJACYaEPZ85hACawagQA9.1

Fredericksburg #7 (September 30) “Ferocious Assaults and Lost Opportunities”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86484839263?pwd=fCGBab1hbS0FcMeJmalf111CZhDoc6.1

Fredericksburg #8 (October 14) “Aftermath”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/82477606691?pwd=1jzaU6jia4zPQZdW7yazbQaVbJY5Ua.1

Tour of the Battle of Fredericksburg on Friday, October 23. Sign-up is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.

 

The Fifth HAAC is a three-day conference on historical analysis running Tuesday through Thursday 20-22 October. After the conference, on Friday, Dr. James Slaughter will lead a tour of The Battle of Fredericksburg, meeting up in the morning in Tysons Corner (near Rangos) and driving down south the battlefield.

The schedule for the Fifth HAAC is rapidly filling in. Now is a good time to commit: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com if you want to sign up for a presentation.

The sign-up for Fifth HAAC is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite

 

There is no Fredericksburg presentation this week

Sorry, but there is no Fredericksburg presentation this week (Wed., August 5). The revised schedule is:

Fredericksburg #3 (August 12) “Burnside’s Plan”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/85934798214?pwd=uTamfoqA1Nr9E5qYkj0baA9gXozbnT.1

Fredericksburg #4 (August 26) “The Problem with Pontoons”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86530379724?pwd=AyAoubLCT4aaVQGIsb2JGMUs6yg5ru.1

Fredericksburg #5 (September 2) “Assault Crossings and Urban Warfare”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/81494714626?pwd=SCpHe9zeHW0c97HmdzNajFHHmmYqmh.1

Fredericksburg #6 (September 23) “Sir, a chicken could not live on that field when we open up on it”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/84281356384?pwd=pBmPl1QScDJACYaEPZ85hACawagQA9.1

Fredericksburg #7 (September 30) “Ferocious Assaults and Lost Opportunities”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86484839263?pwd=fCGBab1hbS0FcMeJmalf111CZhDoc6.1

Fredericksburg #8 (October 14) “Aftermath”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/82477606691?pwd=1jzaU6jia4zPQZdW7yazbQaVbJY5Ua.1

Tour of the Battle of Fredericksburg on Friday, October 23. Sign-up is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.

 

The Fifth HAAC is a three-day conference on historical analysis running Tuesday through Thursday 20-22 October. After the conference Dr. James Slaughter will lead a tour of The Battle of Fredericksburg, meeting up in the morning in Tysons Corner (near Rangos) and driving down south the battlefield.

The schedule for the Fifth HAAC is rapidly filling in. Now is a good time to commit: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com if you want to sign up for a presentation.

The sign-up for Fifth HAAC is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite

Operation Spider’s Web is released in the U.S.

My latest book Operation Spider’s Web: Ukraine’s Devastating Drone Attack on Russia’s Long-Range Aircraft has been released in the U.S. It was released in the UK in May.

The US Amazon.com link is here: Operation Spider’s Web: Ukraine’s Devastating Drone Attack on Russia’s Long-Range Aircraft: Lawrence, Christopher A: 9781036196738: Amazon.com: Books

The publisher link is here: Pen and Sword Books: Operation Spider’s Web – Hardback

UK Amazon.com link is here: Operation Spider’s Web: Ukraine’s Devastating Drone Attack on Russia’s Long-Range Aircraft: Amazon.co.uk: Christopher A Lawrence: 9781036196738: Books

It is available in the U.S. and UK in hardcover. The kindle edition also exists.

This is my third book on the Russo-Ukrainian War (Kyiv, Mariupol and now Operation Spider’s Web). Working on more. 

The Battle for Taiwan #3

Also among the people working on our study of the invasion of Taiwan and related issues is Walker Gargagliano. He has written two articles addressing these related issues. First is on survivability of carriers and the other is on stealth threat of Russia and China. 

Floating Fortresses – American Carriers’ Extraordinary Resilience to Battle Damage: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol78/iss2/5/
The myth of Russia and China’s peer stealth threat: https://asiatimes.com/2025/06/the-myth-of-russia-and-chinas-peer-stealth-threat/

Taiwan scenarios was a day long discussion at the Fourth HAAC and is also the case for the upcoming Fifth HAAC. Walker Gargagliano gave three presentations at the Fourth HAAC and will be attending the Fifth HAAC.

Fourth HAAC schedule: HAAC 2025: Fourth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Fifth HAAC schedule: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

 

Second of Eight Presentations on the Battle of Fredericksburg this Wednesday at 7:00 PM

This Wednesday at 7:00 PM via Zoom we are going to start the second of eight presentations on the Battle of Fredericksburg (December 1862). They will be given by Dr. James Slaughter.

Fredericksburg #2 (22 July) “Change of Command”: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/85602177583?pwd=HwQ5Lo2acJ2OGqxgOewUUMI9rkA2tj.1

The schedule and links for all the presentations are listed here: First of Eight Presentations on the Battle of Fredericksburg this Wednesday at 7:00 PM – The Dupuy Institute. They are all on alternating Wednesdays at 7:00 PM.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The schedule for the Fifth HAAC is rapidly filling in. Now is a good time to commit: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute

Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com if you want to sign up for a presentation.

 

The sign-up for Fifth HAAC is here: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20  •  8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite