October 2026
Tysons Corner, VA
Right outside Washington, D.C.
The Dupuy Institute Presents:
The Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC)
The Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC)
Hosted by The Dupuy Institute, the annual Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) brings together leading experts from across the world to discuss modern warfare’s most pressing questions.
Purpose: To explore and promote the use of historical analysis in understanding military affairs.
About The Dupuy Institute (TDI)
The Dupuy Institute is an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military campaigns.
| Time | Analysis of Conventional Combat Pike and Gallows Conference Center | Naval Warfare Analysis Einstein Conference Room | Room 3 Gandhi Conference Room |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0900–0930 | Introductory remarks Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI) | --- | --- |
| 0930–1030 | Studying Combat: The “Base of Sand” Problem Dr. Shawn R. Woodford | Stability at Depth? India's Nuclear Submarines and Escalation Risks in the Indian Ocean Dr. Nasir Mehmood - virtual? | Open |
| 1030–1130 | Military Effectiveness: What is it and How Do We Know? Dr. Ben Connable | Lesson Learned from the Planned US Invasion of Taiwan: Historical Analysis of Operation Causeway in WWII Alexandru Filip & Dr. Ben Richards | Open |
| 1130–1230 | Breakpoints Christopher A. Lawrence | Taiwan Chip Sayers and Alexandru Filip | Open |
| 1230–1400 | Lunch | ||
| 1400–1500 | Analyzing Russian Fatality Patterns in the Russo-Ukrainian War Sasho Todorov, esquire | The Invasion of Taiwan - an Update Clinton Reilly - virtual | Open |
| 1500–1600 | Analysis of European Theater Tank Combat in WWII: Operations Research Findings and Approaches to Measuirng Tank Armored Combat Power Dr. Ben Richards | The Role of ISR in Land-Based Sea Denial Systems: An Analysis of the War in Black Sea 2022 to 2025 Kayvan Amyot-Ariya | Open |
| 1600–1700 | Open | Amphibious Assaults and Airborne Assault William Victor -Duverger. | Open |
| 1700–1800 | New Findings on Artillery Suppression Dr. Dermot Rooney (Wapentakes) – virtual | Open | Open |
| Evening (1900) | Group Dinner – Rangos | Wargame Session | |
| Time | Analysis of Unconventional Warfare Pike and Gallows Conference Center | Analysis of Conventional Combat Einstein Conference Room | Combat Modeling and Air Warfare Analysis Gandhi Conference Room |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0900–1000 | Iraq, Data, Hypotheses and Afghanistan (old) Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI) | Military Planning: Advising the Roman Emperor Philip in 247 Michael Benhamou Virtual | Sources of Sea Control Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill |
| 1000–1100 | Close Combat Overmatch Weapons (SLAMMER) Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.) | The Revolution in Military Affairs That Occurred in 1939 Dr. Robert Helmbold - virtual | Human Factors Across Games and Simulations Dr. Ben Connable |
| 1100–1200 | Baqubah, Iraq, Dr. Ben Richards | A Harsh and Terrible Solution: A Critical Analysis of Executing OPLAN 316-62, October 1962 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West) | Reserved Julie-Ann Bessette |
| 1200–1330 | Lunch | ||
| 1330–1430 | Live to Dictate or Dictate to Live Jennifer Schlacht, MAH, MAIR | Why this Confusion in the Command Post? An Appraisal of the Debate on the Operational Level of War since 1973 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West) | Advance to Contact (ATC) user version v2 Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill |
| 1430–1530 | JIEDDO use of AI Reserved | Attrition and Reconstitution in the 1973 Arab-Israeli War LtC. Nathan A. Jennings, PhD Not confirmed | Adaptation of Advance to Contact (ATC) to address air combat Jacob Feser |
| 1530–1630 | Group Discussion: AI and the future of analysis | Egypt's Counterterrorism Strategy Arushi Singh - virtual | Aerial Combat in the ETO in WWII; Historical Analysis of Combat Factors and Actual Exchange Rates and Ratios Dr. Ben Richards & Chip Sayers |
| 1630–1730 | Reserved Dr. Iain Overton (AOAV) - virtual | Open | Open |
| Evening (1900) | Group Dinner – BJs | Wargame Session | |
| Time | Other Analysis of Warfare Pike and Gallows Conference Center | Other Analysis of Warfare Einstein Conference Room | Biological Warfare and Medical Analysis Gandhi Conference Room |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0900–1000 | Adaption Under Fire: Explaining Military Organization Change in Attritional Conflicts Ryan Touchstone, PhD Candidate | A Single Grand Campaign: Evaluating the operational execution of Geroge B. McClellan's Grand Strategic Vission in 1862 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West) | Reserved Dr. Douglas Samuelson |
| 1000–1100 | Open | Reserved - 1940 Dr. James Slaughter | Reserved |
| 1100–1200 | Open | Nikolai Movchin and the Theory of Consecutive Operations Dr. Richard Harrison | Open |
| 1200–1330 | Lunch | ||
| 1330–1430 | Open | Isserson: The Architect of Victory Dr. Richard Harrison The last Sovietologist | Open |
| 1430–1530 | Our Response will be Crushing: Assessing Russian post-Ukraine war capability against NATO's defense of its eastern flank Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West) | Intel: Patton's Secret Weapon Dr. Douglas Samuelson | Open |
| 1530–1630 | Group Discussion: Russo-Ukrainian War | Open | Open |
| 1630–1700 | Closing Remarks | ||
| 1700-1800 | Revitalization of TDI Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.) |
||
| Evening | Happy hour - Rangos | Wargame Session | |
Friday: Tour of a Civil War Battlefield – Fredericksburg
We will arrange transport there and back (additional $20 charge for tour).
Purchase tickets: Direct payment to TDI
The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. The conference is priced to cover the costs of the conference facility.
Please pay through PayPal to SRichTDI@aol.com.
We are also set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.
Questions? Email LawrenceTDI@aol.com.
Buy tickets through Eventbrite
Coming soon!