The Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC)

The Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC)

Hosted by The Dupuy Institute, the annual Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) brings together leading experts from across the world to discuss modern warfare’s most pressing questions.

Purpose: To explore and promote the use of historical analysis in understanding military affairs.

About The Dupuy Institute (TDI)

The Dupuy Institute is an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military campaigns.

Day 1: Tuesday, 20 October

Time	Analysis of Conventional Combat Pike and Gallows Conference Center	Naval Warfare Analysis Einstein Conference Room	Intelligence Gandhi Conference Room
0900–0930	Introductory remarks Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)	---	---
0930–1030	Studying Combat: The “Base of Sand” Problem Dr. Shawn R. Woodford	Stability at Depth? India's Nuclear Submarines and Escalation Risks in the Indian Ocean Dr. Nasir Mehmood - virtual?	Open
1030–1130	Military Effectiveness: What is it and How Do We Know? Dr. Ben Connable	Lesson Learned from the Planned US Invasion of Taiwan: Historical Analysis of Operation Causeway in WWII Alexandru Filip & Dr. Ben Richards	Open
1130–1230	Breakpoints Christopher A. Lawrence	Taiwan Chip Sayers and Alexandru Filip	Open
1230–1400	Lunch
1400–1500	Analyzing Russian Fatality Patterns in the Russo-Ukrainian War Sasho Todorov, esquire	The Invasion of Taiwan - an Update Clinton Reilly - virtual	G-2: Intelligence for Patton Weapon Dr. Douglas Samuelson
1500–1600	Analysis of European Theater Tank Combat in WWII: Operations Research Findings and Approaches to Measuirng Tank Armored Combat Power Dr. Ben Richards	The Role of ISR in Land-Based Sea Denial Systems: An Analysis of the War in Black Sea 2022 to 2025 Kayvan Amyot-Ariya	The Fourth Intelligence Revolution Dr. Anthony Vinci (CNAS)
1600–1700	Open	Amphibious Assaults and Airborne Assault William Victor -Duverger.	Thirsting for War: How Water is Driving Conflict in Central Asia Post 2021 Dr. Christopher Davis
1700–1800	Quantifying the Morale and Effectiveness Relationship Dr. Dermot Rooney (Wapentakes) – virtual	Open	Open
Evening (1900)	Group Dinner – Rangos		Wargame Session - Harpoon

Day 2: Wednesday, 21 October

Time	Analysis of Unconventional Warfare Pike and Gallows Conference Center	Analysis of Conventional Combat Einstein Conference Room	Combat Modeling (morning)/Biological Warfare and Medical Analysis (afternoon) Gandhi Conference Room
0900–1000	Iraq, Data, Hypotheses and Afghanistan (old) Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)	Military Planning: Advising the Roman Emperor Philip in 247 Michael Benhamou Virtual	Human Factors Across Games and Simulations Dr. Ben Connable
1000–1100	1916 Easter Rising Robert A. Mosher	The Revolution in Military Affairs That Occurred in 1939 Dr. Robert Helmbold - virtual	Advance to Contact (ATC) user version v2 Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill
1100–1200	Baqubah, Iraq, Dr. Ben Richards	A Harsh and Terrible Solution: A Critical Analysis of Executing OPLAN 316-62, October 1962 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West)	Open
1200–1330	Lunch
1330–1430	Training the Afghan National Army Dr. Arnold Dupuy	Why this Confusion in the Command Post? An Appraisal of the Debate on the Operational Level of War since 1973 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West)	Reserved Dr. Douglas Samuelson
1430–1530	Live to Dictate or Dictate to Live Jennifer Schlacht, MAH, MAIR	Attrition and Reconstitution in the 1973 Arab-Israeli War LtC. Nathan A. Jennings, PhD Not confirmed	Reserved Dr. Eva K. Lee
1530–1630	AI in Warfare: Real World Experience Father Jim Craft	October 1973 - Multi-Domain Operations Geoffrey Clark	Reserved
1630–1730	Reserved Dr. Iain Overton (AOAV) - virtual	Egypt's Counterterrorism Strategy Arushi Singh - virtual	Reserved
Evening (1900)	Group Dinner – BJs	Reserved	Wargame Session - Advance to Contact

Day 3: Thursday, 22 October

Time	Other Analysis of Warfare Pike and Gallows Conference Center	Other Analysis of Warfare Einstein Conference Room	Air Warfare Analysis Gandhi Conference Room
0900–1000	Adaption Under Fire: Explaining Military Organization Change in Attritional Conflicts Ryan Touchstone, PhD Candidate	A Single Grand Campaign: Evaluating the operational execution of Geroge B. McClellan's Grand Strategic Vision in 1862 Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West)	Aerial Combat in the ETO in WWII; Historical Analysis of Combat Factors and Actual Exchange Rates and Ratios Dr. Ben Richards & Chip Sayers
1000–1100	Early Years of the Combat Analysis Division (CAD) Dr. Arnold Dupuy	The Battle of Stonne - 1940 Dr. James Slaughter	Adaptation of Advance to Contact (ATC) to address air combat Jacob Feser
1100–1200	Argus Keegan Pearl & Geoffrey Clark	Nikolai Movchin and the Theory of Consecutive Operations Dr. Richard Harrison	Air Warfare Julie-Ann Bessette
1200–1330	Lunch
1330–1430	Beweglichkeit on Trail Ivan Torres (Janus)	Vladimir Triandafillov: Theorist Dr. Richard Harrison The last Sovietologist	Sources of Sea Control Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill
1430–1530	Our Response will be Crushing: Assessing Russian post-Ukraine war capability against NATO's defense of its eastern flank Ivan Torres (Jomini of the West)	Hermann Goering Division in Sicily Dr. James Slaughter	What is Operational Energy and Why is it Important Dr. Arnold Dupuy
1530–1630	Group Discussion: Russo-Ukrainian War	Puma Jacob Friend	Close Combat Overmatch Weapons (SLAMMER) Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.)
1630–1700	Closing Remarks Jeffrey Harley, PhD (Rear Admiral, USN, ret.)
1700-1800	Revitalization of TDI Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.)
Evening	Happy hour - Rangos		Wargame Session - Birds of Prey