The Russo-Ukrainian War of 2022 – part 7 (Putin’s speech)
Decided to go to the horse’s mouth so to say. I do get tired of listening to talking heads. Below is the link to Putin’s speech he gave earlier today. It goes on for an hour, but I found it…
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Excellence in Historical Research and Analysis
Decided to go to the horse’s mouth so to say. I do get tired of listening to talking heads. Below is the link to Putin’s speech he gave earlier today. It goes on for an hour, but I found it…
The following are reported deployed near Ukraine (according to U.S. statements). See: Roughly 75% of Russian conventional forces deployed against Ukraine: This includes: 1. 120 Battalion Tactical Groups 2. 35 air defense battalions 3. 500 fighter and fighter-bombers So,…
There is a big mismatch in airpower between Russia and Ukraine. The Ukrainian Air Force can field about 100 modern aircraft, Russia can field over 1,300. Actual count according to Wikipedia is: UkraineMiG-29 – 37 (multirole) Su-24 – 12 (attack)…
Reporting I saw a couple of hours ago (courtesy of Kaitlan Collins’ twitter feed): U.S. ambassador Michael Carpenter: “We assess that Russia probably has massed between 169,000-190,000 personnel in and near Ukraine as compared with about 100,000 on January 30.…
I just heard that Vincent Hawkins, former HERO and DMSI employee, passed away yesterday. Born in August 1955 he was 66 years old. He came to work for Trevor Dupuy’s HERO/DMSI around 1986 and was there when I arrived. Always…
There is a big difference between 72 hours and never. See: Russia ‘will not capture’ any of Ukraine’s cities, Ukranian defense minister says Now, I have no inside knowledge or deep understanding of Ukrainian defensive capabilities, so cannot comment on who…
Below is the provisional schedule for the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We currently have set up two conference rooms for use and are issuing out a call for presentations. We do have 23 presentations scheduled by 14 speakers.…
Saw this article from the Daily Beast this morning. Nothing new here, but reinforces my previous post on this subject: Putin’s Army Forces Ukraine’s Frontliners Into “Fight or Flight” Hell The closest I have been to this area is the countryside…
And then there is this article: Troop-to-Task: A Russian Invasion of Ukraine What catches my attention about this article is the discussion of whether “troop-to-task” ratios, also known as tie-down ratios, sometimes also known as force ratios; should be measured based…
My opinion of this potential conflict is summarized in these two posts. So Is Russia going to actually attack Ukraine? | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) Russian Invasions | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) The first post “Russian Invasions” was made on…