Well, as my page proofs for War by Numbers have been sent back to the publisher, I decided to do a little office clean-up before I rolled my sleeves up and continued work on my other books. I have a couple of boxes marked “trash?” Just opened one up and flipped through it, and it was actually pretty damn interesting collection of material. The earliest is a report dated June 13, 1980 done by Dr. Janice Fain called a “Pre-Development Work for a Theory of Combat.” It was done by CACI for the Defense Nuclear Agency.
I gather Dr. Fain was one of the earliest members of CACI (my memory says “one of the founders” but I have not been able to confirm this. She was list as a senior associate of CACI in an article on Lanchester equations in 1977: http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/pdf/Fain.pdf). She worked with Trevor Dupuy as a friend and consultant in the 1980s. In particular, she took over and ran the Breakpoints Project (1987) after the contract was awarded to us. I wrote the proposal for the effort, but was busy heading up Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, so they gave the project to her to manage.
Anyhow, this draft final report of 92 pages has three chapters: 1) What is a Theory of Combat, 2) Theory Development of Combat Processes, and 3) A General Structure for Combat Theory.
Just flipping through it (as there is never time to read all this) I see that Trevor Dupuy is referenced extensively. Also referenced is Donald S. Marshall (one of the other founders of The Military Conflict Institute (TMCI)) and James Taylor (Naval Post-Graduate School). They are both associates of Trevor Dupuy.
If someone wants to take a look at this, contact me. I don’t think I will be throwing this away.
I would be interested in a soft copy.
http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/order.htm
It is only available in hard copy.
I downloaded the Numbers, History and War PDF and skimmed through it. Really fascinating, I had not read it before.
Yes, the first of many such efforts, all with pretty much the same result: https://dupuyinstitute.org/2016/02/29/lanchester-equations-have-been-weighed/