Battle for Taiwan #4
Latest article on Taiwan published by TDI associates William A. Sayers and Julian Spencer-Churchill. This is worth a read. It addresses some of the claims made by people who tend to overrate China’s amphibious capability by the use of civilian craft. The article is: “China Cannot Yet a Beach on Taiwan.” It is on real clear defense here: https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2026/08/25/china_cannot_yet_hold_a_beach_on_taiwan_1202270.html?utm_source=nl&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=rcd-amrecon-2026-08-25&mc_cid=e51569dd59&mc_eid=8154149f25
As Dr. Spencer-Churchill notes: “China’s military is not yet strong enough to take a port on Taiwan’s coast, which we demonstrate through accessible $10 wargaming – transparent and reproducible. China still lacks sealift and cannot move inland faster than Taiwan can counter-concentrate. In an upcoming article, we show China has a better chance of landing on beaches between Tainan and Taizhong.”
Their work will be presented at the upcoming Fifth HAAC. Both “Chip” Sayers and Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill will be presenting at the conference. See: HAAC 2026: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – The Dupuy Institute
The Fifth HAAC is from 20 – 22 October in Tysons Corner Virginia (near DC). Tickets are available from Event Brite: Fifth Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) Tickets, Tuesday, October 20 • 8 AM – 6 PM | Eventbrite.
