Coronavirus in the DC area – weekly update 68

Colorized picture from California, 1918. Source: reddit

This is really only a five-day update, as I was delayed two days last week because of clunky internet connection issues with the Johns Hopkins site. This is weekly update number 68 on the coronavirus in the DC area. This week the D.C area (pop. 5.4 million) increased to 940 new cases over the shortened week. Last week is was 1,241 new cases over the week plus two days. The week before last it was 446 new cases. Twenty-six weeks ago it was 18,934 new cases.

Europe appears to be losing control of the situation again, with the UK and Spain particularly hard hit. This varies widely by country. Italy (pop. 60.3 million), the original epicenter of the European outbreak, reported 3,555 new cases for Tuesday. The UK (pop. 67.1 million) has had an upswing that seems to be sliding out of control. They are reporting 47K new cases Tuesday. This is new cases per day! Its high was 68K new cases on 8 January. It was down below 2K cases a day two months ago. France (pop. 67.4 million) has the fifth highest number of reported cases in the world (after U.S., India, Brazil and now Russia). They reported for France 18K new cases Tuesday. The new case count yesterday for Spain has increased dramatically to 27K for Tuesday. As for Germany it is only 1,626 new cases Tuesday and for Russia it is 23K new cases a day. Keep in mind, these are daily rates. They do add up over the course of a week. The U.S. (population 331.9 million) had 43K new cases Tuesday, and it is continuing to rise. Our high was 300K new cases on 2 January. We did have it down to around 12K new cases a day in June, but it has been on the rise in July.

In Asia and the Pacific the number of reported cases remains low for Tuesday: China (7), Japan continues to rise (3,836), South Korea continues to rise (1,784), Taiwan (24, after peaking at 723 on 5/22), Vietnam continues to rise (5,427), Singapore is rising (195), Australia continues to rise (146) and New Zealand (6). Again, these are daily rates. Japan’s rate is pretty high for a country that is hosting the Olympics.

All the data is from the Johns Hopkin’s website as of today, 7:21 AM:  Johns Hopkins CSSE. The table below for this week is based upon two less days.

……………………..….Population…last week…this week…Deaths
Washington D.C…….…..702,445…….49,616…..49,827…..1,146
Arlington, VA……………..237,521..…..15,372…..15,404…….258
Alexandria VA……………160,530…….11,943…..11,972……..141
Fairfax County, VA…….1,150,795.……77,465…..77,612….1,124
Falls Church, VA…………..14,772.……….430……….430………..8
Fairfax City, VA……..…..…24,574.……….576…….…568………19
Loudoun County, VA….…406,850…….28,207…..28,292…….283
Prince Williams C., VA…..468,011…….45,993.….46,069……..511
Manassas…………………..41,641..…….4,320…….4,325………48
Manassas Park………….…17,307….…..1,222…….1,223………11
Stafford Country, VA……..149,960……..11,610.….11,644………83
Fredericksburg, VA…………29,144………2,165.…..2,173………25
Montgomery C., MD…….1,052,567……71,396.…71,538…..1,628
Prince Georges C., MD.…..909,308……85,836….86,014…..1,601
Total……….…….….……..5,365,425.…406,151…407,091…..6,886

The Mortality Rate is 1.69%. There were 4 fatalities in the last week compared to 940 new cases. This is a mortality rate of 0.43%. The low mortality rate appears to be caused by a lack of the reporting for the two counties in Maryland. The population known to have been infected is 7.59% or one confirmed case for every 13 people.

Virginia (pop. 8.5 million) had 721 new cases on Tuesday. Last week it was 346 new cases on Tuesday. The week before that it was 132 cases. Twenty-five weeks ago it was 4,707.

Dare County, North Carolina (pop. 37K), a beach area in the outer banks, has had 2,275 cases (2,246 last week) and 10 deaths.

Share this:
Christopher A. Lawrence
Christopher A. Lawrence

Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and military analyst. He is the Executive Director and President of The Dupuy Institute, an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military experience.
...
Mr. Lawrence was the program manager for the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, the Kursk Data Base, the Modern Insurgency Spread Sheets and for a number of other smaller combat data bases. He has participated in casualty estimation studies (including estimates for Bosnia and Iraq) and studies of air campaign modeling, enemy prisoner of war capture rates, medium weight armor, urban warfare, situational awareness, counterinsurgency and other subjects for the U.S. Army, the Defense Department, the Joint Staff and the U.S. Air Force. He has also directed a number of studies related to the military impact of banning antipersonnel mines for the Joint Staff, Los Alamos National Laboratories and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation.
...
His published works include papers and monographs for the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation, in addition to over 40 articles written for limited-distribution newsletters and over 60 analytical reports prepared for the Defense Department. He is the author of Kursk: The Battle of Prokhorovka (Aberdeen Books, Sheridan, CO., 2015), America’s Modern Wars: Understanding Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam (Casemate Publishers, Philadelphia & Oxford, 2015), War by Numbers: Understanding Conventional Combat (Potomac Books, Lincoln, NE., 2017) , The Battle of Prokhorovka (Stackpole Books, Guilford, CT., 2019), The Battle for Kyiv (Frontline Books, Yorkshire, UK, 2023), Aces at Kursk (Air World, Yorkshire, UK, 2024), Hunting Falcon: The Story of WWI German Ace Hans-Joachim Buddecke (Air World, Yorkshire, UK, 2024) and The Siege of Mariupol (Frontline Books, Yorkshire, UK, 2024).
...
Mr. Lawrence lives in northern Virginia, near Washington, D.C., with his wife and son.

Articles: 1516

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *