This is the second provisional schedule for the third Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We currently have 27 presentations scheduled by 19 speakers and two group discussions planned. We are looking for more presentations. Each slot is an hour long, so plan for a 45-minute presentation and 15 minutes of discussion.
The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. This is basically across the street by Tysons Corner Shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit from 495 (the Beltway). It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. It is in the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Parking is in the parking garage next door to it.
Conference description is here: The Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)
Costs, Hotels and Call for Presentations (these are all 2023 postings but nothing has changed): Cost of the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17 -19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and Hotels for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and Call for Presentations for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).
The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. This the same as the last two years. Please pay through PayPal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com. The conference is priced to cover the costs of the conference facility. We are also set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.
We are set up for virtual presentations and virtual attendees. We do record the presentations but most have not been published yet.
Schedule: Pike and Gallows Conference Center
Updated: revised 11 April 2024
Day 1: Analysis of Conventional Combat
0900 – 0930 Introductory remarks – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
0930 – 1030 Studying Combat: The “Base of Sand” Problem – Dr. Shawn R. Woodford
1030 – 1130 Slouching Towards Wabash: The Withering of Historical Analysis in the American Profession of Arms – Ivan Torres (Major, U.S. Army, ret.)
1130 – 1230 Redux: Quantifying Warfare – Alexandru Filip (Canadian Center for Strategic Studies)
1230 – 1400 Lunch
1400 – 1500 Temporal and Geographic Patterns of Fatal Casualty Rates in WWI and WWII – Sasho Todorov, esquire
1500 – 1600 Validation Challenges in Wargaming: What’s Real Here? – Dr. Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1600 – 1700 open
1700 – 1800 Grinch in Ukraine – Carl Larson
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – Rangos
Day 2: Analysis of Unconventional Warfare
0900 – 1000 Iraq, Data, Hypotheses and Afghanistan (old) – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1000 – 1100 The Gaza Death Numbers – Dr. Michael Spagat (Royal Holloway University)
1100 – 1200 HAMAS: A History of Terrorism (Jennifer Schlacht, M.A.)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Native American Wars and Conflicts, 1500-1900 – Dr. David Cuberes
1400 – 1500 Close Combat Overmatch Weapons (SLAMMER) – Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.)
1500 – 1600 open
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: The Next Middle East Wars
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – BJs
Day 3: Other Analysis of Warfare
0900 – 1000 open
1000 – 1100 Reserved (Dr. James Slaughter)
1100 – 1200 The Future of TDI and work of the conference – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 The Red Army’s Offensive Operations in Ukraine, 1943-44 – Dr. Richard Harrison
1400 – 1500 Critique of Western Wargames of NATO-WP Conflict – Walker Gargagliano
1500 – 1600 Capabilities of FPV drones in Ukraine: Revolution or Continuation of Historical Quantitative Trend? – Dr. Alexander Kott
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: Russo-Ukrainian War
Evening: Happy hour – Rangos
Schedule: Einstein Conference Room
Day 1: Poster and Book Room
Opened at 0800
Afternoon Day 1: Air Warfare Analysis
1400 – 1500 open
1500 – 1600 Temporal and Geographic Patterns of Fatal Casualty Rates in WWI and WWII (part 2 or overflow presentation) – Sasho Todorov, esquire
1600 – 1700 open
Day 2: Analysis of Conventional Combat – mostly virtual
0900 – 1000 Designing Computer Based AI Wargaming Systems for Simulating and Investigating Historical Battles – Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies, Australia) – virtual
1000 – 1100 Beaches by the Numbers – Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill (Concordia University, Quebec) – virtual
1100 – 1200 Surveying and Quantifying Naval Warfare – Alexandru Filip
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Urban Warfare: Myths and Reality – Dr. James Storr (UK) – virtual
1400 – 1500 Urban Warfare (old) – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1500 – 1600 open
1600 – 1700 Winfield Scott: Architect of American Joint Warfare (LtC. Nathan A. Jennings) – virtual
Day 3: Other Analysis of Warfare
0900 – 1000 The Impact of Horses on Native Americans – Dr. David Cuberes
1000 – 1100 The Red Army’s Plans for a Preemptive Attack in 1941 – Dr. Richard Harrison
1100 – 1200 Mass Egress after an IED Explosion: Lessons Learned about Validation – Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Political Science Pedagogy in Strategic Studies (A Contrast in Quantified History) – Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill – virtual
1400 – 1500 open
1500 – 1600 open
1600 – 1700 open
The presentations from all three days of the first HAAC are here: Presentations from the first HAAC – all three days | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).
Friday, October 11: Tour of a Civil War Battlefield – Antietam: bloodiest day of the U.S. Civil War (and in the Western Hemisphere?). – we will arrange transport there and back ($20 charge for tour).
