The Third HAAC is coming in six weeks and we are still getting more presentations. Now up to 45 (and 2 group discussions). Setting up a third conference room on Wednesday to handle the overflow. So will have a separate conference room on Tuesday for mostly Naval Warfare Analysis and a new third separate conference room on Wednesday for mostly Air Warfare Analysis. Have revised the schedule to end the day at 1700 except for Tuesday.
The current schedule is:
Schedule: Pike and Gallows Conference Center
Revised 26 September 2024
Day 1: Analysis of Conventional Combat
0900 – 0930 Introductory remarks – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
0930 – 1030 Studying Combat: The “Base of Sand” Problem – Dr. Shawn R. Woodford
1030 – 1130 Slouching Towards Wabash: The Withering of Historical Analysis in the American Profession of Arms – Ivan Torres (Major, U.S. Army, ret.)
1130 – 1230 Redux: Quantifying Warfare – Alexandru Filip (Canadian Center for Strategic Studies)
1230 – 1400 Lunch
1400 – 1500 Temporal and Geographic Patterns of Fatal Casualty Rates in WWI and WWII – Sasho Todorov, esquire
1500 – 1600 Validation Challenges in Wargaming: What’s Real Here? – Dr. Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1600 – 1700 New Findings on Artillery Suppression – Dr. Dermot Rooney (Wapentakes) – virtual
1700 – 1800 Gun, Baby, Gun – Dr. Iain Overton (AOAV) – virtual
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – Rangos
Day 2: Analysis of Unconventional Warfare
0900 – 1000 Moscow vs Kiev: Institutional Autism in the German High Command – Dr. Robert Kirchubel (LtC, US Army, ret)
1000 – 1100 Close Combat Overmatch Weapons (SLAMMER) – Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret.)
1100 – 1200 Native American Wars and Conflicts, 1500-1900 – Dr. David Cuberes – virtual
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Iraq, Data, Hypotheses and Afghanistan (old) – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1400 – 1500 The Gaza Death Numbers – Dr. Michael Spagat (Royal Holloway University) – virtual
1500 – 1600 The Islamic State of Khorasan: The Evolution of Terrorism – Dr. Christopher Davis
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: The Next Middle East Wars
Evening (1900): Group Dinner – BJs
Day 3: Other Analysis of Warfare
0900 – 1000 Musicians of Mars – Michael McCarthy
1000 – 1100 Summoning the specter of “Beweglichkeit”: A critical analysis of the U.S. Army’s new FM 3-0 Operations and observed Ukrainian battlefield trends – Ivan Torres (Major, U.S. Army, ret.)
1100 – 1200 Ground Warfare in 2050: How it Looked in 2017 – Dr. Alexander Kott
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 The Red Army’s Offensive Operations in Ukraine, 1943-44 – Dr. Richard Harrison
1400 – 1500 Critique of Western Wargames of NATO-WP Conflict – Walker Gargagliano
1500 – 1600 Capabilities of FPV drones in Ukraine: Revolution or Continuation of Historical Quantitative Trend? – Dr. Alexander Kott
1600 – 1700 Group Discussion: Russo-Ukrainian War
Evening: Happy hour – Rangos
Schedule: Einstein Conference Room
Day 1: Naval Warfare Analysis
0930 – 1030 A Naval Power Index: The U.S. Navy vs three challengers – Imperial Japan, USSR and PRC China – Geoffrey Clark
1030 – 1130 U-boats in the Atlantic: The Unseen and Unheard – Dr. John Magill – virtual
1130 – 1230 Beaches by the Numbers – Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill (Concordia University, Quebec) – virtual
1230-1400 Lunch
1400 – 1500 Surveying and Quantifying Naval Warfare – Alexandru Filip
1500 – 1600 Temporal and Geographic Patterns of Fatal Casualty Rates in WWI and WWII (part 2 or overflow presentation) – Sasho Todorov, esquire
1600 – 1700 A Modest Proviso – National Guard Bureau Chief George Leach and his Role as Catalyst in Motorizing Artillery – Dr. Johannes Allert (Swansea University, Wales)
Day 2: Analysis of Conventional Combat
0900 – 1000 Designing Computer Based AI Wargaming Systems for Simulating and Investigating Historical Battles – Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies, Australia) – virtual
1000 – 1100 Theory of Victory: The Ideas, Doctrine and Education of the U.S. Army from 1814-1941 – Dr. Michael Bonura (CGSC) – virtual
1100 – 1200 Winfield Scott: Architect of American Joint Warfare – LtC. Nathan A. Jennings (CGSC) – virtual
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 Haiti: The Risks of a Failed State in the Western Hemisphere – Dr. Christopher Davis
1400 – 1500 Urban Warfare (old) – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
1500 – 1600 Making Military Decisions in Plateau Eras – Michael Benhamou (Director, OPEWI) – virtual
1600 – 1700 Salvation only in arms: A critical historical analysis of operational maneuver during the 1814 campaign in France – Ivan Torres (Major, U.S. Army, ret.)
Day 2: Air Warfare Analysis
0900 – 1000 Mass Egress after an IED Explosion: Lessons Learned about Validation – Doug Samuelson (InfoLogix)
1000 – 1100 Dogfight: Were US pilots in Korea really better than those in Vietnam? – Chip Sayers
1100 – 1200 The WW2 USAAF Strategic Bombing Campaign: Strategy and Operational Imperatives – Dr. Sorin Adam Matei & Dr. Robert Kirchubel (Purdue University)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 VPAF Aces: As good as they claimed? – Chip Sayers
1400 – 1500 Data for Air Combat Modeling in Network Centric Warfare – Geoffrey Clark
1500 – 1600 Open
1600 – 1700 Open
Day 3: Other Analysis of Warfare
0900 – 1000 Urban Warfare: Myths and Reality – Dr. James Storr (UK) – virtual
1000 – 1100 The Red Army’s Plans for a Preemptive Attack in 1941 – Dr. Richard Harrison
1100 – 1200 Analyzing Barbarossa: By the Numbers – Dr. Robert Kirchubel & Sorin Adam Matei (Purdue)
1200 – 1300 Lunch
1300 – 1400 The Debate over French Armored Warfare Doctrine 1935 to 1940 – Dr. James Slaughter
1400 – 1500 Future of Maneuver Warfare – Dr. Amos Fox (Arizona State University) – virtual
1500 – 1600 Chernobyl compromised: The story of a Russian cyber attack – Joseph Weiss (Applied Control Solutions, LLC) – virtual
1600 – 1700 Political Science Pedagogy in Strategic Studies (A Contrast in Quantified History) – Dr. Julian Spencer-Churchill – virtual
Floating unscheduled presentation: Force Ratios – Christopher A. Lawrence (TDI)
Friday, October 11: Tour of a Civil War Battlefield – Antietam: bloodiest day of the U.S. Civil War (and in the Western Hemisphere?). – we will arrange transport there and back ($20 charge for tour).
See this link below for costs ($150), address, conference description, hotels, and call for presentations: Announcements for the Third HAAC, 8-10 October – The Dupuy Institute
