Islamic State Loses Border Area with Turkey

Nice summary of the situation: IS loss of border area with Turkey sharply harms group

A few highlights:

  1. ISIL has been expelled from the last area it controlled on the Turkish border. This effectively cuts it supply lines to the outside world.
  2. People fighting ISIL include:
    1. United States
    2. Turkey
    3. Iran
    4. Russia
    5. Iraqi government troops
    6. Popular Mobilization Forces (Iraqi Shiite militia)
    7. Syrian government troops
    8. Hezbollah (from Lebanon)
    9. Kurdish-led Syria Democratic Forces
    10. Kurdish Peshmerga fighters in Iraq
    11. Sunni tribesmen (Iraq)
    12. Sultan Murad (Syria)
    13. Mountain Hawks (Syria)
    14. Shamiya Front (Syria)
    15. Liberation Army (Syria)
    16. And probably a few others.
  3. In Syria, ISIL killed 4,401 people since June 2014, including 2,369 civilians
  4. In Iraq, ISIL has killed thousands.
  5. Archeological sites damaged/destroyed
    1. Temple of Bel, Palmyra
    2. Temple of Baalshamin, Palymyra
    3. Nimrod in Iraq
    4. Hatra in Iraq
    5. and probably a few others.
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Christopher A. Lawrence
Christopher A. Lawrence

Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and military analyst. He is the Executive Director and President of The Dupuy Institute, an organization dedicated to scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data related to armed conflict and the resolution of armed conflict. The Dupuy Institute provides independent, historically-based analyses of lessons learned from modern military experience.
Mr. Lawrence was the program manager for the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base, the Kursk Data Base, the Modern Insurgency Spread Sheets and for a number of other smaller combat data bases. He has participated in casualty estimation studies (including estimates for Bosnia and Iraq) and studies of air campaign modeling, enemy prisoner of war capture rates, medium weight armor, urban warfare, situational awareness, counterinsurgency and other subjects for the U.S. Army, the Defense Department, the Joint Staff and the U.S. Air Force. He has also directed a number of studies related to the military impact of banning antipersonnel mines for the Joint Staff, Los Alamos National Laboratories and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation.
His published works include papers and monographs for the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the Vietnam Veterans of American Foundation, in addition to over 40 articles written for limited-distribution newsletters and over 60 analytical reports prepared for the Defense Department. He is the author of Kursk: The Battle of Prokhorovka (Aberdeen Books, Sheridan, CO., 2015), America’s Modern Wars: Understanding Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam (Casemate Publishers, Philadelphia & Oxford, 2015), War by Numbers: Understanding Conventional Combat (Potomac Books, Lincoln, NE., 2017) , The Battle of Prokhorovka (Stackpole Books, Guilford, CT., 2019), The Battle for Kyiv (Frontline Books, Yorkshire, UK, 2023), Aces at Kursk (Air World, Yorkshire, UK, 2024), Hunting Falcon: The Story of WWI German Ace Hans-Joachim Buddecke (Air World, Yorkshire, UK, 2024) and The Siege of Mariupol (Frontline Books, Yorkshire, UK, 2024).
Mr. Lawrence lives in northern Virginia, near Washington, D.C., with his wife and son.

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