Category Historical Analysis Annual Conference

Presentations from first HAAC – The Future of TDI and work of the conference

The fifth presentation for the third day of last year’s conference was by me on “The Future of TDI and work of the conference.” It was a short 7-slide closing presentation for the conference (although we still have seven presentations to post from the second conference room): Closing Presentation 

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The nine presentations given on the first day are all here: Presentations from HAAC – Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The 13 presentations given on the second day (including one that was not given) are all here:  Presentations from HAAC – Urban Warfare | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The presentations given on the third day include:

First: “Applying the Scientific Method to Military History (using a virtual laboratory)” by Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies PYY LTD, Sydney, Australia): Presentations from HAAC – The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

Second: “Quantitative Analysis of History of Direct Fire Weapons” by Dr. Alexander Kott of the Army Research Laboratory (ARL): Kott HAAC Hist Weapons Sep2022.

Third: “Quantitative Risk Assessment in Military Decisions” by Dr. Douglas A. Samuelson of the InfoLogix, Inc.: DS_risk_HAAC_09292

Fourth: “The Criticality of Resurrecting TDI & TNDM” by Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret): TDI Proposal 22AUG22

Reminder: Second HAAC, 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA

Announcement:  The Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs ($150): Cost of the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17 -19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Hotels: Hotels for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Cal for Presentations: Call for Presentations for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

This is a good time to volunteer to present. Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com or call me at (703) 289-0007.

Presentations from First HAAC – The Criticality of Resurrecting TDI & TNDM

The fourth presentation for the third day of last year’s conference was by Joe Follansbee (Col., USA, ret) on “The Criticality of Resurrecting TDI & TNDM”: TDI Proposal 22AUG22

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The nine presentations given on the first day are all here: Presentations from HAAC – Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The 13 presentations given on the second day (including one that was not given) are all here:  Presentations from HAAC – Urban Warfare | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The presentations given on the third day include:

First: “Applying the Scientific Method to Military History (using a virtual laboratory)” by Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies PYY LTD, Sydney, Australia): Presentations from HAAC – The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

Second: “Quantitative Analysis of History of Direct Fire Weapons” by Dr. Alexander Kott of the Army Research Laboratory (ARL): Kott HAAC Hist Weapons Sep2022.

Third: “Quantitative Risk Assessment in Military Decisions” by Dr. Douglas A. Samuelson of the InfoLogix, Inc.: DS_risk_HAAC_09292

Presentations from First HAAC – Quantitative Risk Assessment in Military Decisions

The third presentation for the third day of last year’s conference was by Dr. Douglas A. Samuelson of the InfoLogix, Inc. His presentation was “Quantitative Risk Assessment in Military Decisions” and is here: DS_risk_HAAC_09292

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The nine presentations given on the first day are all here: Presentations from HAAC – Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The 13 presentations given on the second day (including one that was not given) are all here:  Presentations from HAAC – Urban Warfare | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The presentations given on the third day include:

First: “Applying the Scientific Method to Military History (using a virtual laboratory)” by Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies PYY LTD, Sydney, Australia): Presentations from HAAC – The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

Second: “Quantitative Analysis of History of Direct Fire Weapons” by Dr. Alexander Kott of the Army Research Laboratory (ARL): Kott HAAC Hist Weapons Sep2022.

Reminder: Second HAAC, 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA

Announcement:  The Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 in Tysons Corner, VA | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs ($150): Cost of the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17 -19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Hotels: Hotels for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Cal for Presentations: Call for Presentations for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

This is a good time to volunteer to present. Just email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com or call me at (703) 289-0007.

Presentations from First HAAC – Quantitative Analysis of History of Direct Fire Weapons

The second presentation for the third day of last year’s conference was by Dr. Alexander Kott of the Army Research Laboratory (ARL). We have posted about his work before, here The Evolution of Weapons and Warfare? | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and here Data Used for the ARL Paper | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and here Data Used of the ARL Paper – post 2 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and here Technological Advancement Lessons from History? | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org) and here Two ARL Reports | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org). His presentation was on “Quantitative Analysis of History of Direct Fire Weapons.” It is here: Kott HAAC Hist Weapons Sep2022
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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The nine presentations given on the first day are all here: Presentations from HAAC – Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The 13 presentations given on the second day (including one that was not given) are all here:  Presentations from HAAC – Urban Warfare | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The presentations given on the third day include:

First: “Applying the Scientific Method to Military History (using a virtual laboratory)” by Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies PYY LTD, Sydney, Australia): Presentations from HAAC – The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Call for Presentations for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023

Want to make a call for presentations for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) in Tysons Corner in October 2023.

Anyone interested in making what they feel is a useful and relevant contribution should email me at LawrenceTDI@aol.com or call me at (703) 289-0007.

We do not require any formal paper or publication to support such a presentation. The presentations should be planned to be completed within 45 minutes, giving us time for 15 minutes of discussion.

We are looking for presentations from academia, think tanks, defense companies, the armed services or private individuals that are related to historical analysis of military affairs. I do have a bias towards quantitative historical analysis but reman open-minded towards anything of value.

I will probably be accepting requests for presentations up through the end of September, when for practical purposes I will need to finalize the schedule. We prefer the presentations to be in person, but we have arranged for at least one virtual presentation.

We do give a $60 discount to the fee for the conference to presenters. While it would be nice to cover people’s travel expenses and pay honorariums to the presenters, I am funding these conferences out of my own pocket. I guess I could charge more for the conference to allow for this; but instead, I limited the charges just to cover the expenses of the conference rooms.

Hotels for the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17-19 October 2023

Dining and Hotels are at the expense of the attendees. The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. This is basically across the street by Tysons Corner Shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit from 495 (the Beltway). It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road.

The nearest hotel is the Marriott Tysons Corner at 8028 Leesburg Pike, Vienna, VA.

Nearby hotels include:

    1. Tysons Corner Marriot (nearest hotel)
      1. 8028 Leesburg Pike, Vienna, VA 22182, 1 (703) 734-3200
      2. Hotel in Tysons Corner, VA | Tysons Corner Marriott
    2. Hyatt Regency (very nice location – connect to Tyson Corner Shopping mall)
      1. 7901 Tysons One Place, McLean, VA, 22102, 1 (703) 893-1234
      2. https://www.hyatt.com/en-US/hotel/virginia/hyatt-regency-tysons-corner-center/iadrt
    3. Residence Inn Tysons
      1. 8400 Old Courthouse Road, Vienna, VA 22182, 1 (703) 917-0800
      2. Vienna, VA, Hotel Near Tysons Corner Mall | Residence Inn (marriott.com)
    4. Double Tree by Hilton McLean Tysons
      1. 1960 Chain Bridge Road, McLean, VA 22102, 1 (703) 893-2100
      2. DoubleTree Hotel Rooms and Suites Mclean, VA Tysons Corner (hilton.com)
    5. Courtyard Tysons McLean
      1. 1960A Chain Bridge Road, McLean, VA 22102, 1 (703) 790-0207
      2. Tysons Corner, VA Hotels | Courtyard Tysons McLean (marriott.com)
    6. Extended Stay America (very near)
      1. 8201 Old Courthouse Rd., Vienna, VA 22182, 1 (703) 356-6300
      2. Vienna, VA – Washington D.C. – Tysons Corner Hotel | Extended Stay America
    7. Hilton Garden Inn Tysons Corner
      1. 8301 Boone Blvd, Vienna, VA 22182, 1 (703) 760-9777
      2. Hotels in Tysons Corner – Hilton Garden Inn

I have not looked into setting up a block of rooms at the Marriott or Hyatt Regency but can do so if there is the interest.

The Hilton Garden Inn is where the leader and several of the Oath Keepers stayed on 5-6 January 2021. They have been charged with Seditious Conspiracy, see pages 20 & 21 and 30: Indictment from U.S. District Court

The Tysons Corner metro station is a 15-minute walk from the conference center or 4 minutes away by shuttle. 

The only challenge is Route 7 is a busy road, so if you have to cross on foot, please do so using the cross walk.

Cost of the Second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 17 -19 October 2023

The cost of attendance to the second Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) on 17-19 October 2022 will be $150 for the entire conference. Dining and hotels are at the expense of the attendees. There will be facilities for virtual attendees and virtual presenters, but the focus of the conference will be in-person presentations and attendees.

Cost for attendance for a single day is $60. As the conference is near Tyson Corner metro (Silver line), then a number of people in the area may wish to attend for only one day.

We are offering a student discount of only $20 a day. That kind of only applies to real students. The conference costs are listed below: 

Costs:

  1. Conference fee = $150
  2. Attendance for one day = $60
  3. Presenters get a $60 discount.
  4. Student discounted price = $20 for a day.
  5. The Dupuy Institute discount = free
    1. Former or current employees of TDI/TNDA/DMSI/HERO
    2. Former or current members of the board of TDI

Payment: 

Please make payments to our paypal account SRichTDI@aol.com. 

We will also be able to take payments at the conference but prefer to get a good feel for the number attendees ahead of time.

Presentations from HAAC – The Application of the Scientific Method to Military History

The opening presentation for the third day of the conference was by Clinton Reilly (Computer Strategies PYY LTD, Sydney, Australia), a regular commentator to this blog. He flew a long way to attend. It was on “Applying the Scientific Method to Military History (using a virtual laboratory).”  It is oriented towards wargaming. It is here: Computer Strategies Wargames – Using the Scientific Method V 0.77

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The nine presentations given on the first day are all here: Presentations from HAAC – Air Combat Analysis on the Eastern Front in 1944-45 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The 13 presentations given on the second day (including one that was not given) are all here:  Presentations from HAAC – Urban Warfare | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).