Category Historical Analysis Annual Conference

Presentations from HAAC – Fitting Lanchester Equations

The third presentation of the first day was given by Dr. Tom Lucas of the Naval Post-Graduate School (49 slides):  Fitting Lanchester equations to time-phased battle data

The two of the databases used for this work were the Ardennes Campaign Simulation Data Base (ACSDB) and the Kursk Data Base (KDB). I was the program manager for both of these efforts.

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The conference opened with a brief set of introductory remarks by me. The seven supporting slides are here: Opening Presentation

It was then followed by a briefing by Dr. Shawn Woodford on Studying Combat; The “Base of Sand” Problem: 20220927 HAAC-Studying Combat

The second presentation of the first day was given by me. It is here (45 slides): Data for Wargames (Summary) – 2. 

Presentations from HAAC – Data for Wargames

The second presentation of the first day was given by me. It is here (45 slides): Data for Wargames (Summary) – 2. This presentation was originally prepared for a conference in Norway in December 2021. It was based upon my books America’s Modern Wars and  War by Numbers.

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We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The conference opened with a brief set of introductory remarks by me. The seven supporting slides are here: Opening Presentation

It was then followed by a briefing by Dr. Shawn Woodford on Studying Combat; The “Base of Sand” Problem: 20220927 HAAC-Studying Combat

Presentations from the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) – Studying Combat

We had a total of 30 presentations given at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC). We have the briefing slides from most of these presentations. Over the next few weeks, we are going to present the briefing slides on this blog, maybe twice a week (Tuesdays and Thursday). In all cases, this is done with the permission of the briefer. We may later also post the videos of the presentations, but these are clearly going to have to go to another medium (Youtube.com). We will announce when and if these are posted.

The briefings will be posted in the order given at the conference. The conference schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The conference did open with a brief set of introductory remarks by me. The seven supporting slides are here:

Opening Presentation

It was then followed by a briefing by Dr. Shawn Woodford on Studying Combat; The “Base of Sand” Problem:

20220927 HAAC-Studying Combat

 

Book Review: Something Rotten: Land Command in the 21st Century by Jim Storr

Here is a review of the book Something Rotten: Land Command in the 21st Century by Jim Storr: #WavellReviews “Something Rotten: Land Command in the 21st Century” by Jim Storr » Wavell Room

Jim Storr was a speaker at the first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) and his presentation on “Weaponizing Historical Analysis: A Case Study of the Introduction of HA into Doctrine” was well received.

I have not read the book, but note in the review: “Ultimately, the lack of real military science and study (something Storr is also keen to highlight) means we are stuck with the sources we have.”

Amazon link to book: Amazon.com: Something Rotten: Land Command in the 21st Century: 9781912440320: Storr, Jim: Books

Jim Storr is the author of several other books, 1) King Arthur’s Wars, 2) The Human Face of War, 3) The Hall of Mirrors, 4) Battlegroup!, and 5) Something Rotten: Amazon.com: Jim Storr: Books, Biography, Blog, Audiobooks, Kindle

The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) is done

The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) is done. It ran from 27-29 September of last week. Planning has started for the second one.

I do want to thank all the people who took their time to come and present. We did have 30 presentations by 22 speakers and two good group discussions. We did follow the schedule: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org). Only two presentations were not done: Artillery Suppression and Urban Warfare on Day 2 in the Einstein Conference Room.  Maybe next year.

I do want to thank all the people who helped me with the conference: Shawn Woodford, Roger Kaplan, Stiles Peabody, Joe Follansbee and especially the hard-working multi-talented Jay Karamales. Also, would like to thank Brandon Barr and the staff of Intelligent Office for their gracious support.

We will be hosting the second HAAC sometime in October 2023, either 3-5 October, 10-12 October, or 17-19 October. Have not settled on a date yet. October 9 is a U.S. federal holiday, so debating if we should schedule the conference just before the three-day weekend, just after it, or a week after it. I am already building the schedule for 2023, so looking for presentations for next year.

We did record most of the presentations. Because of other work, it may take me a few weeks before I can review them and make a decision on their disposition. Nothing will be published without the permission of the participants.

We are talking about two conferences in 2024, one in the United Kingdom.

 

Today Starts the First Historical Analysis Conference

It is open invitation. A payment to Paypal reserves a seat or you can show up at the door.

The first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) starts on Tuesday the 27th, in Tysons Corner, VA, near DC. We have 32 presentations by 23 speakers and two group discussions planned (Afghanistan and Ukraine). The latest schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The background of the presenters is here: Summation of Who’s Who at HAAC (revised) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. This is across the street by Tysons Corner shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit for Tysons Corner from 495 (the Beltway). It is on the third floor of the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Free parking is in the parking garage next door to it.

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through paypal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com.

We are also now set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.

We can accept and register attendees at the door on the morning of the conference. Just trying to get everyone to pay ahead of time, as I really don’t want a line at the door in the morning.

Look forward to seeing you all there.

The First Historical Analysis Conference starts Tomorrow

It is open invitation. A payment to Paypal reserves a seat or you can show up at the door.

The first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) starts on Tuesday the 27th, in Tysons Corner, VA, near DC. We have 32 presentations by 23 speakers and two group discussions planned (Afghanistan and Ukraine). The latest schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The background of the presenters is here: Summation of Who’s Who at HAAC (revised) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. This is across the street by Tysons Corner shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit for Tysons Corner from 495 (the Beltway). It is on the third floor of the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Free parking is in the parking garage next door to it.

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through paypal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com.

We are also now set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.

We can accept and register attendees at the door on the morning of the conference. Just trying to get everyone to pay ahead of time, as I really don’t want a line at the door in the morning.

Look forward to seeing you all there.

The First Historical Analysis Conference starts in Two Days

The first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) starts on Tuesday the 27th, in Tysons Corner, VA, near DC. We have 32 presentations by 23 speakers and two group discussions planned (Afghanistan and Ukraine). The latest schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The background of the presenters is here: Summation of Who’s Who at HAAC (revised) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. This is across the street by Tysons Corner shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit for Tysons Corner from 495 (the Beltway). It is on the third floor of the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Free parking is in the parking garage next door to it.

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through paypal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com.

We are also now set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.

We can accept and register attendees at the door on the morning of the conference. Just trying to get everyone to pay ahead of time, as I really don’t want a line at the door in the morning.

Look forward to seeing you all there.

The First Historical Analysis Conference is in Five Days

The first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) starts on Tuesday the 27th, in Tysons Corner, VA, near DC. We have 32 presentations by 23 speakers and two group discussions planned (Afghanistan and Ukraine). The latest schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The background of the presenters is here: Summation of Who’s Who at HAAC (revised) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. This is across the street by Tysons Corner shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit for Tysons Corner from 495 (the Beltway). It is on the third floor of the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Free parking is in the parking garage next door to it.

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through paypal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com.

We are also now set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.

We can accept and register attendees at the door on the morning of the conference. Just trying to get everyone to pay ahead of time, as I really don’t want a line at the door in the morning.

Look forward to seeing you all there.

The First Historical Analysis Conference is in Seven Days

The first Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC) starts in one week on Tuesday the 27th, in Tysons Corner, VA, near DC. We have 32 presentations by 23 speakers and two group discussions planned (Afghanistan and Ukraine). The latest schedule is here: Schedule for the Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 – update 16 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The background of the presenters is here: Summation of Who’s Who at HAAC (revised) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

The conference is at 1934 Old Gallows Road, Suite 350, Vienna, VA 22182. This is across the street by Tysons Corner Shopping mall and the Marriot Hotel on Route 7. It is right off the Route 7 exit for Tysons Corner from 495 (the Beltway). It is at the corner of Route 7 (Leesburg Pike) and Old Gallows Road. It is in the building above the restaurant called Rangos. Parking is in the parking garage next door to it.

Conference description is here: The First Historical Analysis Annual Conference (HAAC), 27-29 September 2022 in Tysons Corner, VA – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers: The Costs, Hotels and Call for Papers – update 3 | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org)

The cost of the conference is $150 for entire conference or $60 a day. Please pay through paypal (www.paypal.com) to SRichTDI@aol.com. I really think that is better than everyone standing in line of Tuesday morning while we collect payments for the conference. The conference is priced to cover the costs of the conference facility.

We are also now set up to take credit card payments by phone. Call The Dupuy Institute during working hours at (703) 289-0007.

The last time anything similar was held was over two decades ago: The Third Special Conference on Historical Data Analysis (SCOHDA III) | Mystics & Statistics (dupuyinstitute.org).

Look forward to seeing you all there.